Racial profiling update
(UPDATE: Welcome, readers of Bonfire of the Vanities and Carnival of the Vanities!)
A new study by the Bureau of Justice Statistics is the starting point for an AP story today, to wit:
Black, Hispanic and white motorists are equally likely to be pulled over by police, but blacks and Hispanics are much more likely to be searched, handcuffed, arrested and subjected to force or the threat of it, a Justice Department study has found.
And why is this a story, you ask? That's easy:
Traffic stops have become a politically volatile issue as minority groups have complained that many stops and searches are based on race rather than on legitimate suspicions.
Well, that, and a little political dig they manage to get in regarding the Bush administration, but I'll let that pass for now.
"When someone in law enforcement who is willing to speak the truth about racial profiling gets demoted for it, that's absolutely chilling," said Hilary Shelton, director of the NAACP's Washington bureau. "To manage any problem, we must first measure it."
Yes, we should measure it. Measuring is good. Drawing logical conclusions from said measurements is also good, but one can't have everything.
So, just what is this data that the NAACP wants to draw attention to?
The data showed that black, Hispanic and white motorists were equally likely to be pulled over by police; about 9 percent of each are stopped. Traffic stops were the most frequent form of police contact with the public; an estimated 16.8 million drivers were stopped in 2002.
The racial disparities showed up after that point:
_Blacks (5.8 percent) and Hispanics (5.2 percent) were much more likely to be arrested than whites (2 percent).
_Hispanics (71.5 percent) were much more likely to be ticketed than blacks (58.4 percent) or whites (56.5 percent).
_Blacks (2.7 percent) and Hispanics (2.4 percent) were far more likely than whites (0.8 percent) to report that police used force or the threat of it. Force was defined as when an officer pushed, grabbed, kicked or hit a driver with a hand or object. Also included were police dog bites, chemical or pepper spray or a firearm pointed at the driver, or the threat of any of these.
_Handcuffs were used on greater percentages of black motorists (6.4 percent) and Hispanics (5.6 percent) than whites (2 percent).
_Black and Hispanic drivers and their vehicles were much more likely to be searched than whites and their vehicles. Black motorists were searched 8.1 percent of the time; Hispanics, 8.3 percent; whites, 2.5 percent. Vehicles driven by blacks were searched 7.1 percent of the time; by Hispanics, 10.1 percent; by whites, 2.9 percent.
Sorry for all the statistics, but they are essential to the point of the story. You see, according to this particular study, white drivers were pulled over at the same rates as blacks and Hispanics. But after being pulled over, there were racial disparities, as more blacks and Hispanics ended up being arrested, ticketed, have their vehicles searched, report threats of "force," etc.
Now, what does this raw data tell you? Just think about it for a moment. Think also about what it does not tell you, namely what circumstances the police officers found in the vehicles of the people stopped, or how the occupants of the vehicles behaved. Buried in the very last line of the story, we find that
The study, first reported by The New York Times, said the interviews did not ask enough questions about circumstances - such as whether drugs were in plain view - or about driver conduct to "answer the question of whether the driver's race, rather than the driver's conduct or other specific circumstances," led to the search.
Why that wouldn't make this study pretty much useless isn't explained. In addition,
Based on interviews of almost 77,000 Americans age 16 or over in 2002, the study drew no conclusions about the reasons for the racial disparities in post-stop treatment.
I can see why: the data gives too little information to draw prima facie conclusions. Well, except, maybe, for one, although this is certainly not the conclusion you are supposed to reach: that police are unnecessarily pulling over far too many white drivers (as evidenced by the fact that far fewer of them end up being arrested, searched, ticketed, etc.). Oops. Heh, heh, never mind. These aren't the data you're looking for. You can go about your business. Move along.
What we're supposed to think is something like the scene in Driving Miss Daisy in which the two ignorant, Southern, redneck deputies pull over Hoke and Miss Daisy because, why, here's a Negro driving an expensive car that he couldn't possibly afford, and he's chauferring a Jewish woman around, for goodness' sake. No good could possibly come of this.
Instead, what we find is that while whites are pulled over at the same rate as other races, the other races statistically end up giving the police more reason to take action against vehicle occupants, and surely this must have racist implications. Especially that "threat of force" thing--police are, we are supposed to believe, hitting those poor drivers, or using handcuffs or some such, simply because they are of a minority race.
The trouble is that there is no evidence to show that this is true, at least not in this story. And they even say so. But don't pay that no never-mind, because we all know how racist the police are.
Now, if police are treating people unfairly because of their race, that's not only deplorable, it's illegal. But what we have here is data that not only fails to support that conclusion, it actually leads one to the opposite conclusion--yet in spite of that, the NAACP will use this study to defame the police and the administrations under which they perform their duties. And there are people who hate so much to use their brains for anything more strenuous than watching television who will believe them.
(Hat tip to Ralph Bristol.)
UPDATE: Thanks to TWM for the link--and the kind, if somewhat too kind, words.

















Posted by: Individ | Friday, 26 August 2005 at 08:59 AM
Posted by: Rob | Friday, 26 August 2005 at 10:10 AM
Posted by: Vicki Small | Friday, 26 August 2005 at 04:06 PM
And thanks for your input, Rob and Vicki. Actually, I expected to get flamed to a crispy crunch over this, and may be yet, but frankly, I don't really get enough attention yet for that sort of thing to occur much.
Posted by: Obi-Wan | Friday, 26 August 2005 at 04:45 PM
Posted by: rob | Friday, 26 August 2005 at 07:52 PM
Plus, I never know whether to serve red or white wine...
Posted by: Obi-Wan | Friday, 26 August 2005 at 08:23 PM
Posted by: MB | Wednesday, 31 August 2005 at 09:18 AM